Sunday, October 29, 2006

Sports Betting

Did you see last year's flick Two for the Money? You should, and not just to see Al Pacino doing what only Al Pacino can do. The story's abysmal, but the fictional tout service Pacino's character owns and operates is pretty close to way a lot of handicapping services work. Especially the 900 number based pick services. One of the service's "experts" uses computer-generated trends to lure in prospective bettors. Another makes the kind of impassioned appeals that are favored by telemarketers preying on senior citizens. But the former college hotshot quarterback (played by Matthew McConaughey) trumps them all because he actually knows a thing or two about football. If you're looking for a tout service, you'll want one that employs more McConaugheys and fewer of everyone else. That's where the Internet comes to the rescue. Any tout worth his salt (and your money) publishes columns that reveal his betting philosophy. If the columns are based on sound football analysis, you may have something. Columns that are little more than a hard sell - "Five-Star Lock of the Millennium!!!" - should be more than enough to scare you away, not sucker you in. Let's say you've read the tout's columns and you like what you see. The next step is to check out the service itself. The vast majority of these are available on the Web - if you have to dial a 1-900 number to sign up and/or receive tips, forget about it. You'll pay through the teeth, and they'll have your phone number - which they'll use to call you and give you the hard sell. There are some legitimate touts who use 1-900 numbers, but the reward isn't worth the risk. Watch out as well for services with multiple tiers. Paying extra cash to join the "Gold Circle" instead of silver or bronze is a no-no. In the end, however predatory some of their business practices may be, touts are still in business. There is a lot of competition in the sports gaming world; that competition has prompted many services to provide guarantees on their tips - if you don't win, you don't pay or get credits. That should give you a hint which touts are concerned about providing you good gambling information. Too bad other industries aren't subject to the same competitive market forces.
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Wednesday, October 18, 2006

Understanding 'Luck' and Making It Work For You

Pinnacle Pulse: Issue 54The Inside Wagering Line from Pinnacle Sports Book by Simon NobleUnderstanding 'Luck' and Making It Work For YouTwo Sundays ago, during the end of the Dallas-Philadelphia game, theCowboys were down 31-24 and driving into Eagle territory with about 30seconds on the clock. Though Dallas were long shots to score a TD and tiethings up, those "wise guys" sitting on the teaser of Dallas +1.5 up to+7.5 were already counting their winnings.With Dallas out of timeouts, a few more incomplete passes, a touchdown, oreven getting tackled in bounds would end the game and give many of theseplayers a chance to cash at the window with a smile on their face. Thenthe unthinkable happened!!! A Dallas pass in the end zone was interceptedand returned 102 yards for a Philadelphia touchdown. Whether you call thisa highly improbable occurrence, or just plain bad luck, either way allthose Dallas teasers bit the dust and those wise guys lost out.While a bad-beat like that may leave a horrible taste in the mouth, it'ssurprising how quickly players forget about the impact of luck on a team'sperformance. Players might later review Dallas's schedule and note theCowboy's win/loss record, or the points for/against, but miss the subtlenuances of outrageous misfortune - like the 102 yard TD interception.In a very long season - such as the NBA or MLB - the good and bad breakstend to balance each other out. After 30-40 games, you get a fair measureof a team's ability. It's more dangerous to ignore luck's affects on anNFL team due to the short season; most successful bettors appreciate howluck adds another dimension to a team's win/loss record.There are several occasions each NFL season where the better football teamdoes not win because of a lucky or unlucky play that defies reason. We'veall seen miracles and disasters cause small fortunes to change handsbetween bookies and bettors, but still many players ignore this factorwhen evaluating teams.In the same way that players perceive a pattern at the roulette table whenthe ball lands on black for six consecutive spins (there's actually nopattern, just a sequence of random events), many players try to deduce a"pattern" in lucky or unlucky teams. However, the results are betterexplained by chance.How do handicappers decide if a result is due solely to luck or from thequality of a team that finds a way to win? Many professional players doextensive statistical testing of a single factor that might be heavilyaffected by luck. This approach determines whether a team that has shown acertain tendency in the past (such as throwing many interceptions) islikely to continue in the future.The "bean counters" do this with correlation tests, trying to validate (orrefute) the idea that "bad teams throw more interceptions" by looking atthe results of teams in prior seasons. Do bad teams throw moreinterceptions, or are there simply unlucky events that make a team "lookbad"? This question can be answered even if you have no idea what a"correlation test" is.First off, identify the factor you want to test for luck - in this case,interceptions. Look at league-wide statistics for the first eight weeks ofthe prior season, to see which teams had the most, and leastinterceptions. Divide all NFL teams between "good" and "bad" based oninterceptions thrown. If they threw more than average, put them in the"bad" group, and otherwise in the "good" stack.Then utilize the same process while examining the last eight or nineweeks. If the same 16 teams are bad in both halves, it would suggest avery high correlation, meaning that a team that throws picks will probablykeep doing so. If exactly half of the "bad teams" from the first half ofthe season are bad in the second half (regarding interceptions), it wouldsuggest the event is purely random (since a "bad" team in the first halfof the season is equally likely to be good or bad in the second).Practicing this test on NFL teams, will show that interceptions thrown bya team are almost completely random. In fact, you'd also find similarresults for all forms of giveaways and takeaways - there's less than a 20%correlation. So how do bettors turn this knowledge into money? Simplyrecognize when teams are overrated or underrated because of the impact onperception of good or bad luck.A team with a high turnover differential looks good in a box-score, butit's just as likely to be positive as negative on turnovers going forward.Historical scores do not reflect that, and make these teams (like St.Louis) look much stronger than they actually are. Similarly, teams withnegative turnover differentials (like Oakland and Cleveland) tend tooutperform the public's expectations (and hence, the spread).There are other calculations bettors can do that will give a statisticaledge in sports betting. Identifying results that are unusual due to luckwill put you in position to evaluate teams better than the market as awhole. With any statistic you can isolate and analyze - from the Colts'3rd-down conversion rate to anomalies in field goal kicking - if you canrecognize luck, you can make money off it.Real statistics geeks can go further with the luck factors identified.Advanced correlation can tell you how much difference a lucky turnoverchange makes to an NFL game (it's actually about 3.5 points). Or, a hitbatter in baseball, which accounts for about 0.5 runs. If you can quantifyhow much these lucky/unlucky instances change the event outcomes, you can"adjust" your statistics accordingly and gain a better measure of whattruly happened. If your assessment is more accurate than the market, youwill profit.What are our players betting?Miami -17.5 -109 at DukeIn Miami's game against FIU last week, a brawl broke out resulting in thesuspension of 13 Miami players. We thought the opener of Miami -20.5accurately reflected these suspensions, but the sharps disagreed. The wiseguys fired away on Duke at +20.5 with some buying it up to +21.5. Despitethe sharp action on Duke, we are seeing many more players backing Miami.Texas -6.5 -105 at NebraskaThe initial opener of Texas -8 drew a flurry of sharp activity, all ofwhich was on Nebraska. Most of the public is on Texas and there are threetimes as many wagers on the Longhorns, including most of our larger Asianplayers. This game has been heavily traded, with the sharps refusing toallow the line to drift to Texas -7.San Diego Chargers -5 -103 at Kansas City ChiefsThe sharps were split evenly on the opener of Chargers -4.5 with somesharps buying the Chargers down to -3.5. When we see this type ofactivity, one of two things must be true - our push percentages are wrongor their numbers are wrong. Although there's fairly balanced action interms of volume, the public clearly favors the Chargers as we've takennearly 20 times as many bets on San Diego as Kansas City.Carolina Panthers +3 +105 at Cincinnati BengalsWe opened the Panthers at +3.5 (-112) and saw a fairly rare event - thesharps AND the public backing the same side. With nearly three times asmany bets on Carolina as Cincinnati, this price has drifted down. Similarto the San Diego game, we're seeing some of our sharper players buythrough the "4".Pinnacle Sports Book & Online BettingPinnacle Sportsbook is an online betting company providing the best oddson sportsbook gambling, online horseracing, online casino gaming, andonline poker.With excellent 24/7 customer service, fast payouts, and secure Internetbetting, Pinnacle Sports Book satisfies all your sports book bettingrequirements and game wagering needs.The Pinnacle Sports Book also offers reduced juice betting so sign-up nowwith Pinnacle Sportsbook Betting and get wagering today!

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Sunday, October 15, 2006

Sports Betting

NFL Football Handicapping
Only Chicago came though for me, as Indianapolis and the New York Jets (what was I thinking there?) failed to cover, while the Chiefs were a push on the line I had. On the plus side, it was another good week straight up. Here are my picks for Week 6 in the NFL. Philadelphia at New Orleans (+3)The way the Eagles have been playing so far this season, I really expected the line to be much larger in Philadelphia's favor. When I saw it was only three points early in the week, I jumped all over it. The Saints may be 4-1, but none of the teams they have beaten (Cleveland, Green Bay, Tampa Bay) even compares to Philadelphia offensively or defensively. Donovan McNabb is off to a killer start and no matter who he has playing receiver for him this season, he still finds the end zone again and again. McNabb will find the end zone easily this week, so take Philadelphia -3. Seattle at St. Louis (+3)This is a battle for first place in the NFC West. After being St. Louis's whipping boy for years, the Seahawks finally returned the favor last year with a pair of wins over the Rams. The Seahawks were off last week, which gave them time to get over their punishing defeat at the hands of the Bears two weeks ago. Matt Hasselbeck and his trio of talented receivers will be ready to take that frustration out on St. Louis. Even without Shaun Alexander, take Seattle -3. Oakland at Denver (-15)Oakland is one of the worst teams in the league, but in the last couple of weeks their offense has finally started to put some points on the board. The Raiders' offense will need to be in top form to score this weekend versus a Broncos' defense that is allowing only 8.5 points per game. The Broncos' offense hasn't exactly been getting to the end zone with regularity this season though (averaging only 12.3 points per game). The Broncos will win this game, but I think the 15-point spread will be difficult to cover with Jake Plummer still struggling to move the ball. Take Oakland +15. Chicago at Arizona (+10)The Chicago Bears are the best team in the NFL right now. Period. The Bears' defense is stifling and with a healthy Rex Grossman at the helm, the offense is scoring in bunches. They scored 40 points versus Buffalo last week. Forty! To put that in perspective, the Bears only scored 260 points in 16 games last season. (For the mathematically challenged, that comes out to only 16.3 points per game.) The Cardinals' defense is a joke and we'll see just how good Matt Leinart is this week against the smothering Bears' D. Trust me, he's not that good yet. Take Chicago -10.
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Wednesday, October 11, 2006

The Gambling Bill

The Gambling Bill

Gambling and the Law:
The Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006 Analyzed

Copyright October 4, 2006, all rights reserved worldwide. Gambling and the Law® is a registered trademark of Professor I Nelson Rose, Internet'>http://www.wagerweb.com/">Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006 was rammed through Congress by the Republican leadership in the final minutes before the election period recess. According to Sen. Frank R. Lautenberg (D-NJ), no one on the Senate-House Conference Committee had even seen the final language of the bill. The Act is title VIII of a completely unrelated bill, the Safe Port Act, HR 4954, dealing with port security. It can be found on pages 213 -244 of the Conference Report: http://www.saveonlinegaming.com/hr49543.pdf . It is based on the Leach and Goodlatte bills, HR 4411 and HR 4777, but there are some important differences.

The following is a detailed analysis of the Act. The section numbers that follow refer to new sections that have been added to title 31 of the U.S. Code:

§5361 The Act begins with Congress’ findings and purpose. These include a recommendation from the discredited National Gambling Impact Study Commission, whose chair was the right-wing, Republican incompetent, Kay Coles James. Findings include the doubtful assertion that Internet gambling is a growing problem for banks and credit card companies. It correctly states that "new mechanisms for enforcing gambling laws on the Internet are necessary," especially cross-border betting.

The Act contains a standard clause that it does not change any other law or Indian compact. It repeats this many times, to make sure that no one can use the Act as a defense to another crime, or to expand existing gambling.

Most important, the Department of Justice is arguing before the World Trade Organization, in the dispute between the U.S. and Antigua, that all interstate gambling is illegal under the Wire Act. The DOJ insisted that any Internet prohibition passed by Congress not expressly authorize Internet betting on horse racing. The DOJ believes this will allow it to continue to argue that the Interstate Horse Racing Act does not do exactly what it says it does, legalize interstate horse racing.

§5362 Definitions. Bet or wager includes risking something of value on the outcome of a contest, sports event "or a game subject to chance." The Act otherwise allows contestants to risk money on themselves. The "game subject to chance" restriction is designed to eliminate Internet poker.

The Act then confuses the issue of skill by stating that betting includes purchasing an "opportunity" to win a lottery, which must be predominantly subject to chance. Someone will figure out a way to create an opportunity to win, where the opportunity is subject to some chance. But the Act expressly prohibits lotteries based on sports events.

Betting includes instructions or information. This eliminates the argument overseas operators used that the money was already in a foreign country, so no bet took place in the U.S.

The Act exempts activities that we all know are gambling, but are, by statute, declared not to be gambling. These include securities and commodities, including futures, that are traded on U.S. exchanges. Boilerrooms and bucketshops, selling foreign securities are gambling. Insurance is not.

Free games are not gambling. But there is a special provision that allows sites to offer points or credits to players only if these are redeemable only for more games. Operators of free games, where players can win valuable prizes, will have to stop giving points for wins that can be redeemed for cash. Free bingo, on the other hand, can still give small cash prizes paid out of the advertising budget.

Fantasy leagues are legal, but subject to detailed restrictions. A fantasy team cannot be "based on the current membership of an actual team." What they actually mean is a fantasy team cannot be composed merely of the players of a real team. There is no limit on the cost of entering, but prizes must be announced in advance, and not based on the fees paid by participants. Statistics must be derived from more than one play, more than one player, and more than one real-world event.

Being in the "business of betting or wagering" still does not include mere players. It also expressly does not include financial institutions involved in money transfers.

"Designated payment system" is a new term. It could have been labeled simply "target," as in "you are the target of a criminal investigation." It covers any system used by anyone involved in money transfers that the federal government determines could be used by illegal gambling. The procedure will be that the Secretary of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Attorney General will meet and create regulations and orders targeting certain money transfer systems.

"Financial transaction provider" is a very broad definition covering everyone who participates in transferring money for illegal Internet gambling. This expressly includes an "operator of a terminal at which an electronic fund transfer may be initiated," and international payment networks. This covers third party providers, like Neteller.

"Interactive computer service" includes Internet service providers.

"Restricted transaction" means any transmittal of money involved with unlawful Internet gambling.

"Unlawful Internet gambling" is defined as betting, receiving or transmitting a bet that is illegal under federal, state or tribal law. The Act says to ignore the intermediary computers and look to the place where the bet is made or received.

This does not completely solve the problem of Internet poker, or even Internet casinos. The Act does not expand the reach of the Wire Act, the main federal statute the DOJ uses against Internet gambling. Although the DOJ has taken the position that the Wire Act covers all forms of gambling, courts have ruled that it is limited to bets on sports events and races. State anti-gambling statutes have similar weaknesses, including the presumption that they do not apply if part of the activity takes place overseas. This new statute requires that the Internet gambling be "unlawful." But it would often be difficult to find a federal, state or tribal law that clearly made a specific Internet bet illegal.

Nevada and other states are expressly permitted to authorize 100 percent intrastate gambling systems. Congress required that state law and regulations include blocking access to minors and persons outside the state.

Tribes were given the same rights, with the same restrictions. Two tribes can set up an Internet gaming system, if it is authorized by the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act. This means that tribes can operate bingo games linking bingo halls on reservations. They can also link progressive slot machines, if their tribal-state compacts allow. But they cannot operate Internet lotteries and other games open to the general public.

It is interesting that Congress decreed that states can decide for themselves if they want to have at-home betting on horse racing, but not on dog racing. Congress also decreed that tribes can operate games that link reservations, even across state lines, but not the states themselves: State lotteries are not exempt, as they were in the House bill. This will lead to an inevitable fight over whether multi-state lotteries are legal, once players can buy tickets on the Internet, since they will be sold only in states where the sales are legal.

Congress had a little problem with the term "financial institution." To force casinos to report large cash transaction, federal law was changed to define "financial institution" as including large gambling businesses. Congress had to undo that definition, so that in this Act casinos go back to being casinos.

The other definitions are standard or are described above.

§5363 "No person engaged in the business of betting or wagering may knowingly accept" any money transfers in any way from a person participating in unlawful Internet gambling. This includes credit cards, electronic fund transfers and even paper checks. But it is limited to Internet gambling businesses, not mere players. It also would not cover payment processors or ISPs, even under a theory of aiding and abetting.

Strangely, the Act clearly does not make it a crime to knowingly transmit funds for illegal gambling. For a law designed to stop the flow of money, it is bizarre to make it a crime only to receive the funds, but not to send them or transmit them: Neither the player nor the intermediary can be charged with this crime. The language of the Act even eliminates the possibility of charging financial institutions and computer hosts under a theory of aiding and abetting, since it explicitly states, in the definitions section, that being in the business of gambling does not include a "financial transaction provider," or an ISP.

§5364 Federal regulators have 270 days from the date this bill is signed into law to come up with regulations to identify and block money transactions to gambling sites. At this writing, President Bush had not yet signed this bill, but he will. So the regs will go into effect by the beginning of July 2007.

The regs will require everyone connected with a "designated payment system" to ID and block all restricted transactions. So all payment processors are supposed to have systems in place to prevent money from going to operators of illegal Internet gambling. The first step will undoubtedly be to take the credit card merchant code 7995 and expand it to all money transfers. Visa created the 7995 classification in 2001 to avoid having its credit cards used for online gambling. The federal government will order banks and all others involved with electronic money transfers to cease sending funds to any Internet operator who has a 7995 credit card merchant code. Any financial institution that follows the regs cannot be sued, even if it wrongfully blocks a legitimate transaction.

The Act allows the federal regulators to exempt transactions where it would be impractical to require identifying and blocking. This obviously applies to paper checks. Banks have no way now of reading who the payee is on paper checks and cannot be expected to go into that business. Banks tried to defeat this bill, not because they cared about patrons’ privacy, but because they knew that it would cost them billions of dollars to set up systems to read paper checks.

The great unknown is how far into the Internet commerce stream federal regulators are willing to go. The Act requires institutions like Bank of America and Neteller to ID and block transactions to unlawful gambling sites, whatever they are. But, while Bank of America will comply, Neteller might not, because it is not subject to U.S. regulations. Will federal regulators then prohibit U.S. banks from sending funds to Neteller? And would they then prohibit U.S. banks from sending funds to an overseas bank, which forwards the money to Neteller?

For financial institutions within the U.S, the Act provides that exclusive regulatory enforcement rests with their federal regulators, like the Federal Reserve Board. The Federal Trade Commission is supposed to enforce regulations on everyone else. It is extremely doubtful whether the FTC. will ever try to do anything about the Netellers of the world, who are beyond regular U.S. regulatory control.

§5365 Since there is no way to regulate overseas payment processors, the Act allows the U.S. and state attorneys general to bring civil actions in federal court. The courts have the power to issue temporary restraining orders, preliminary and permanent injunctions, to prevent restricted transactions. The only problem with this enormous power is that it is, again, practically useless against payment processors who are entirely overseas.

It is difficult to serve a company with the papers necessary to start a lawsuit, a summons and complaint or petition, if the company has no offices, or officers, in the U.S. Even if the papers for such a lawsuit can be served, there is normally no requirement that foreign countries enforce these types of orders. Other countries are particularly reluctant to enforce a T.R.O., which does not even require that the defendant be present. Preliminary injunctions are also often ignored, because they are issued without a full trial and can be modified at anytime by the trial judge. Neteller operates out of the Isle of Man. I do not know of any treaty or other law which would require the Isle of Man to enforce even a permanent injunction against one of its licensed operators.

The Act provides for limited civil remedies against "interactive computer services." An Internet service provider can be ordered to remove sites and block hyperlinks to sites that are transmitting money to unlawful gambling sites. ISPs are under no obligation to monitor whether its patrons are sending funds to payment processors or even directly to gambling sites. But once it receives notice from an U.S. Attorney or state Attorney General, the ISP can be forced to appear at a hearing to be ordered to sever its links.

But the statute has an interesting requirement: The site must "reside on a computer server that such service controls or operates." This would limit the reach of this statute to payment processors, affiliates and search engines that are housed on that particular ISP. The same problem of going after foreign operators and payment processors affects this section. Foreign ISPs are difficult to serve and not necessarily subject to federal court injunctions.

The greatest danger here would seem to be with affiliates. Any American operator can be easily grabbed. This includes sites that don’t directly take bets, but do refer visitors to gaming sites. If the affiliate is paid for those referrals by receiving a share of the money wagered or lost, it would not be difficult to charge the affiliate with violating this law, under the theory of aiding and abetting. Being a knowing accomplice and sharing in the proceeds of a crime make the aider and abettor guilty of the crime itself. The federal government could also charge the affiliate with conspiracy to violate this new Act.

The other danger lies with search engines. Although California-based Google does not take paid ads, punching in "sports bet" brings ups many links to real-money sites. This new Act expressly allows a federal court to order the removal of "a hypertext link to an online site" that is violating the prohibition on money transfers. But what prosecutor would want to be ridiculed internationally for trying to prevent Google from showing links?

The Act gives ISPs a little more security by declaring that they cannot be convicted of violating the Wire Act, unless, of course, the ISP is operating its own illegal gambling site.

This section of the Act ends with a limitation, that, frankly, makes no sense. It says that, after all the talk of getting court orders to prevent restricted transactions, "no provision of this subchapter shall be construed as authorizing" anyone "to institute proceedings to prevent or restrain a restricted transaction against any financial transaction provider, to the extent that the person is acting as a financial transaction provider." This could be a typo, since the bill was rushed through without an opportunity to even be read. Or perhaps it means that banks can be ordered to not transfer money to gambling sites, but only if they know about it. It is indecipherable.

§5366 Criminal penalties: Up to five years in prison, and a fine. And barred from being involved in gambling.

§5367 The Act naturally makes ISPs and financial institutions liable if they actually operate illegal gambling sites themselves.

Lastly, the Act requests, but does not require, the executive branch to try and get other countries to help enforce this new law and "encourage cooperation by foreign governments" in identifying whether Internet gambling is being used for crime. The Secretary of the Treasury is told to issue a report to Congress each year "on any deliberations between the United States and other countries on issues relating to Internet gambling." That report will go unread.

© Copyright October 4, 2006. Professor I Nelson Rose, Whittier Law School, Costa Mesa, CA is recognized as one of the world’s leading experts on gambling law. His latest books, Gaming Law: Cases and Materials and Internet Gaming Law, are available through his website, http://www.gamblingandthelaw.com/



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Bodog Music Artists to Thrill Horror Fans at the Fuse Fangoria Chainsaw Awards

October 11, 2006
Bodog Music, the brainchild of billionaire digital entertainment mogul Calvin Ayre, will be in the middle of the action when fuse and Fangoria Entertainment join forces to bring audiences America's first televised fuse Fangoria Chainsaw Awards. The Chainsaw Awards, which are dedicated to the best in horror cinema, music and television, will be held Sunday, October 15 at the Orpheum Theater in Los Angeles and airs on the network on Sunday October 22nd at 9:30pm EST / 6:30pm PST. Two of Bodog Music's premier acts will thrill attendees as they share in the madness happening around the Chainsaw Awards.

October 13 marks the start of events with Neurosonic appearing on Sirius Satellite Radio. Neurosonic is set to show the world what they are about on The Fangoria Show, hosted by Dee Snyder, the horror legend and former frontman for Twisted Sister. Fangoria Radio, a live, three-hour weekly radio show dedicated to horror culture, airs globally Friday nights from 10 pm-1 am ET on SIRIUS Stars channel 102. Neurosonic frontman Jason Darr exclaims, "I think it is absolutely amazing that I am playing an event as twisted and dark as the Fangoria show."

Darr and The Vincent Black Shadow's chanteuse Cassandra Ford will walk the "Black Carpet" during the pre-show, which offers a critique of the arriving guests' fashions and live performances by some of the biggest names in pop, rock and hip-hop. As the night progresses Jason and Cassandra will be among the long list of celebrities in attendance who will present one of the coveted awards. The celebrites attending include: Rob Zombie and his actress wife, Sheri Moon Zombie; The Used; Slipknot; Chingy; Fall Out Boy; Korn's Jonathan Davis; Gym Class Heroes and Cobra Starship. Categories include: "Best Butcher (Villain)", "Chick You Don't Want to Mess With", "Line that Killed", "Creepiest Kid", "Prince of Darkness (Darkest Male in a Music Video)", "Best Video Inspired by a Horror Film" and "Femme Fatale (Most Evil Female Character in a Music Video)".

"Fans of horror films and videos are among the most passionate of any genre, and we're happy to have our Bodog Music artists involved in these awards," says Calvin Ayre, Founder of the Bodog Entertainment Group. The Vincent Black Shadow has the honor of rocking the first-ever "Gala of Gore" post-show, the official after-party held at Club 740 in LA that boasts music and film A-listers on the guest list. Cassandra Ford proclaims, "These are the Oscars for the 'rest of us'. I would be lying if I said that being a part of an event that is essentially devoted to blood, guts and terror didn't make my day. I swear that I'm not a maniac or anything, but there's something about watching blood splatter on a wall that gets me going."

The Chainsaw Awards premiere on fuse Sunday, October 22 at 9:30 p.m. EST and will be broadcast several times throughout the Halloween season. Hosted by Jamie Kennedy of "Scream" fame, the show has a star-studded cast of performers. Cyber-savvy music and horror fans can follow the action and get many extras by heading to www.fuse.tv and www.Fangoria.com before, during and after the broadcast. Fuse viewers and horror fans alike will have the chance to help determine the award winners by voting at www.fuse.tv between September 1 and, naturally, Friday, October 13.

About Bodog Music BodogMusic.com is a division of the international digital entertainment giant Bodog.com. With six offices worldwide, the label features a diverse and growing roster of talented musicians. Bodog Music is searching for the top unsigned band in America with “ Bodog Battle of the Bands�, which is taking place in 17 major markets and features more than 300 live shows. Bodog Music Founder Calvin Ayre, who is recognized as a world authority on branding in the digital entertainment industry, was featured on the cover of Forbes magazine's best-selling "Billionaires" issue in March 2006. The Bodog Entertainment Group also includes a television production unit, an online magazine, Bodog Nation, and further properties coming soon. For more information, contact publicity@bodogmusic.com. BODOG is a registered trademark of Bodog Entertainment Group.

About fuse fuse is the nation's only viewer-influenced, music television network, featuring music videos, exclusive artist interviews, live concerts, series and specials. fuse reflects the rapidly changing interests and attitudes of its 12-34 year-old audience by uniting the media platforms at the center of their communication and entertainment - TV, Web, mobile technologies and interactive gaming and by incorporating their opinions and suggestions into the network's on-air and online programming. More information about fuse is available at www.fuse.tv.

About Fangoria:Fangoria Entertainment owns and operates the renowned monthly horror publication Fangoria Magazine and the horror genre's #1 online destination Fangoria.com. Fangoria Entertainment also produces the popular weekly 3-hour live radio show FANGORIA RADIO airing Friday nights on Sirius Satellite Radio, hosted by renowned heavy metal frontman for Twisted Sister and horror film producer-actor Dee Snider with celebrated Scream Queen and radio veteran Debbie Rochon serving as Snider's sidekick. Established in May 1979, Fangoria Magazine and Website rank as America's #1 source for horror news and entertainment. Both the magazine and the website remain the most sought-after source of movies, videogames, television series, books and toys that comprise the burgeoning world of horror entertainment. Fangoria TV produced acclaimed High Definition broadcasts of the NY Village Halloween Parade in 2004 & 2005. Fangoria Entertainment is also a prime producer of horror conventions held throughout the year in major cities nationwide. In addition, the Fangoria video label is home to a collection of contemporary horror film titles in distribution on DVD and VHS.

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Saturday, October 07, 2006

Sports Betting

Sports Betting
Handicapping the Handicappers - A Guide to Forum Opinion All bettors want the quick, easy win, but any long-term success can be attributed to only one thing - hours of research and study. This poses a problem for weekend warriors who don't have the time to dedicate 40+ hours per week analyzing lines and shopping for value. A potential solution to this predicament for recreational bettors, that offers a realistic chance for finding winners without quitting their day jobs, can be found at online sports betting forums. One of the quickest ways to learn, without the time-consuming study, is to watch and converse with proven winning handicappers in these gambling discussion areas. There are many talented sports bettors who freely give away plays and encourage discussion on open forums. But how do you know when a handicapper has a long enough track record to justify following their plays? Handicapping the handicappers can be as difficult as analyzing sports games themselves. Time and again you'll see a poster start hot, only to crash and burn later. There's a real risk that you might start following a new "expert's" plays when he's actually just a 50% (or worse) handicapper. When new players start posting their selections, they'll often quit after many losing plays or even if they're winning 50% of the time. At the same time, players with winning records keep posting. This causes "survival bias" - a fair number of handicappers will look like winners even if they are just coin-flippers. One way to avoid this (and have a better chance of following a winner) is to look for 'cappers' with at least 100 selections. When evaluating a player, it's useful to know how likely a handicapper's results are to occur if all of his selections were random (e.g. a 50% handicapper). A simple rule is to take the square root of the total number of selections and add that number to one half of the total plays made. For example, if he has 400 plays, the square root would be 20, which added to one half of 400, gives a total of 220 theoretical wins. If a player is 20 selections above 200 in this case, he is two standard deviations above average. There's about a 1 in 40 chance of a 50% handicapper doing that. So a player with 400 selections would need to go 220-180, or 60-40 with 100 selections to be this rare. Without being a master statistician, you can quickly see that the more selections you can view, the easier it is to evaluate a player. In many cases, it's safer to follow someone with a lower winning percentage if they have a lot more plays. Another question players frequently ask is if they should pay for someone's selections? Players should first analyze the economics of this - How much do you expect to win following these tips? And how much is it costing relative to what's being bet? If you're betting $100 per game while paying a consultant $25 per play for advice, there's no chance to win at season's end. The handicapper does not share the risk, even if he only charges for winning plays. Consequently, it's hard to justify spending more than 1-2% of each bet on consulting. Making 100 plays of $100 each on an NFL season, it might be reasonable to pay a few hundred dollars for professional advice, but in that same situation you'd need to win 56% of your plays just to break even if you paid a 10% fee of $1,000. There are very few people that can hit 56% in the long-term without betting into overnight lines and the more obscure sports. The gambling forums can also assist you in getting other gambler's opinions on various professional tout services, before paying for their handicapping. While there are reputable tout services out there, 'caveat emptor' applies as the buyer should always beware before spending money for picks. Don't simply take a listed record for fact, ask around and find out if they're grading themselves fairly. Is the handicapper giving plays that only their followers can get? Try not getting caught up in promotions of short-term results, instead focus on long-term performance using the same analysis you'd use on forum posters. Also find out the touts win rate for the last 100 plays. If you have trouble finding a play history, many of the professional services will provide them on request. Other services may list their plays after the game begins, which allows you to independently track them. Should you choose to select a service, don't cheat yourself, put in the research to ensure you get your money's worth. So what are players betting in the early action at this week? LSU -1 -101 v Florida Florida was originally a 2.5 point favorite, but public money has kept coming in on LSU at. While there have been twice as many bets on LSU as Florida, there has not been a clear consensus from our sharps at the time of writing. Tennessee -2 -109 v Georgia The oddsmakers opened the Vols' as a 2.5 point favorite. The Bulldogs have struggled two weeks in a row to mediocre teams, which was enough to get the public to fade them heavily. We have three times as many bettors on Tennessee as Georgia. Despite the public money, the line has drifted down to -2 as our sharps are collectively on the Bulldogs. Kansas City -3 -125 v. Arizona The opener of Chiefs -2.5 (-110) drew a downpour of money at a rate of three bets on K.C. for every one on Arizona. Some sharper players also took an early position on the Chiefs, and sold it off by playing Arizona +3.5 (with point buying). A lot of players are buying half-points on +this game, which will make this an ugly game if we're middled on the "3". Pittsburgh +3.5 -115 v San Diego This game is one of the most heavily traded games of the week The action has been balanced and the sharps have not picked a side on this match-up yet. There is a "resistance point" at San Diego -3.5 (+109). While the price is currently -3.5 (+107), it occasionally creeps up when we take a few large Pittsburgh bets. Every time the line hits Chargers -3.5 (+109), we take a limit bet on them. There are two common causes of this: either scalpers are playing our numbers versus other sportsbooks, or some players are slowly building up a larger position on the Chargers.
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Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Barrett Vs. Valuev

Barrett Vs. Valuev


By Carlos Guzman
WagerWeb.com Contributing Writer


On Saturday, Oct. 14, from the Allstate Arena in Rosemont, Ill., heavyweight title challenger Monte “Two Gunz� Barrett faces World Boxing Association heavyweight champion Nikolai “Giant Russian� Valuev in a modern day battle between David and Goliath.

Monte is giving up 100 pounds and 9 inches in height. Bringing just your fists is like bringing a knife to a gun battle. In a conversation with reporter Ron Borges, Monte revealed this fight didn’t fall on his lap, he asked for it!

"It may sound crazy, but I had another option," Barrett said of how he ended up facing Valuev. "I know that sounds crazy coming off the (Hasim) Rahman loss, but Don (King, who promotes both Valuev and Barrett) said I could fight Valuev or Sergei (Liakhovich, who holds the World Boxing Organization version of the title). I wanted Valuev because he's undefeated. Sergei has one loss. I felt I'd get more exposure fighting him. When I beat him, I feel I'll gain more."

Maybe boxing needs to require mental evaluations. Barrett’s trainer, James Ali Bashir, thinks the “Giant Russian� is right for the picking:

“John Ruiz and Larry Donald left the door open for doubt. We’re going to close the door.�
Valuev likes to hold, throw elbows and stiff-arm his opponents,� Bashir continued. “I won’t tolerate infractions. No one has ever really challenged Valuev. We want to make him fight.�

Looking though CompuBox information you will find some interesting information:

Results of Valuev's fights with men who weighed similar to Barrett:

Manao Navuilawa - 212 pounds - KO 1
Alexei Varakin - 214 1/4 pounds - KO 1
Konstantin Prizyuk - 215 1/2 - KO 4
Cliff Etienne - 217 1/2 - KO 4
Rodney Harris - 219 - W 4
Alexei Osokin - 222 - KO 6
Toakipa Tasefa - 222 3/4 - W 12

Barrett's results against his heaviest opponents:

Tim Witherspoon - 235 - W 10
Hasim Rahman - 236 - L 12
Joe Mesi - 237 1/2 - L 10
Juan Quintana - 242 - W 6
Greg Page - 244 - W 10
Wladimir Klitschko - KO by 7
Lance Whitaker - 249 - L 1

The numbers don’t lie; Valuev should be the betting favorite (he is by a wide margin) and should stop Barrett before the 9th round

Duddy Ignites The Garden
John Duddy vs. Luis Ramon “Yori Boy� Campas has to be one of the most grueling wars I’ve ever witnessed. I have the blood on my back to prove it. It was 12 solid rounds of back and forth between two gladiators.

In the early rounds, Duddy tried to box, but it quickly became apparent Campas was slightly stronger and very determined. He started to run through Duddy like he wasn’t there. By the 5th round Duddy was taking a terrible beating, and if the fight was stopped nobody in press row would’ve complained. But I’m glad they didn’t stop it.

From Rounds 6-11, Duddy put on a masterful performance of heart and determination to turn the fight around in his favor. He boxed with more success, as the veteran tired and his punch output diminished. Unfortunately, he was battling two nasty cuts above his eye -- but to the credit of his corner that was never a factor.

In the 12th many ringside observers felt the fight was in the balance. Yori Boy Campas fought like a man possessed. He hurt Duddy so badly that John’s legs gave out and he stumbled around the ring helplessly. I almost ran into the ring to stop it. But Duddy survived and walked back to his corner like a man who just got run over by a truck.

The scorecards were terrible, but the winner was correct ... John Duddy is the new IBA middleweight champion of the world. Probably the first NY fighter to pick up any type of belt that didn’t say “made in China.�

30 Seconds
Belinda "Brown Sugar" Laracuente will square off against Layla McCarter on Nov. 17 in Las Vegas on Telefutura.

The ladies are fighting for the vacant WBA female lightweight crown, scheduled for 12 three-minute rounds. This title fight becomes the first scheduled for the same terms as a male championship contest.

Luis Collazo will return to the ring Nov. 4 against Hercules Kyvelos on the non-televised portion of the Liakhovich-Shannon Briggs headlined Showtime card in Phoenix.

According to Boxrec.com, undefeated WBC CABOFE (Caribbean Boxing Federation) featherweight champion Mario Santiago, trained by Evangelista Cotto, will defend his title against NY's hottest contender, the undefeated Gary Stark Jr.



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Big East Notebook

Big East Notebook


By Jeff Zell
WagerWeb.com Contributing Writer



Could Pittsburgh be the dark horse of the Big East?.

The talk of the conference has been about the Nov. 2 showdown between Louisville and West Virginia, some have even mentioned the success of Rutgers to provide a threat – but no Panthers talk.

Tyler Palko is looking to change that.

Through five weeks of college football, Palko leads the nation in passer efficiency rating with a 191.3 rating. Last week, the senior threw for 172 yards and a pair of touchdowns in a 45-3 rout of Toledo. What’s saying Pitt has a chance against the big dogs? A favorable schedule says so.

Pittsburgh has three home games remaining -- and they happen to be against Rutgers, West Virginia and Louisville. The only loss last year at home came to Notre Dame.

“I’m pleased with how we’re executing thus far, but I know we’re nowhere near being the type of football team that we can be,� Palko said. “That’s the scary thing.�

Recap: The Big East went 3-1 in non-conference play last week. Cincinnati beat up on a bad Miami (Ohio) team, while Syracuse grew its winning streak to three with a win over Wyoming. Navy used a healthy dose of ground attack to thrash Connecticut. Rutgers played a tight game at South Florida and remained perfect.

Not Just Rankings: You would think college football athletes wouldn’t worry about the media and just play the game. "I don't think a lot of people thought we should be ranked at this point,� Rutgers fullback Brian Leonard told the AP after Friday's 22-20 win at USF. “After this game, I think we proved that we should be." Coach Greg Schiano rode the back of Ray Rice to the tune of 35 rushes for 202 yards. It was the defense that made the difference in the end. The Scarlet Knights stopped a 2-point conversion attempt to come away with the dramatic victory.

Mountain Chemistry: Can having chemistry on and off the field be underrated? That’s what West Virginia has with QB Pat White and RB Steve Slaton. "They say everybody has their twin?" Slaton said to the Pittsburgh Post Gazette. "He might be my twin." Having the two leading rushers on the same page in the spread offense – yeah, that works well. The rushing offense is ranked No. 2 in the nation – averaging nearly 300 yards per game.

Looking Ahead: Believe it or not, the game of the week in the Big East is Pittsburgh at Syracuse (the Panthers are -7 at WagerWeb.com). Both teams have winning records, and there are whispers in Syracuse that Greg Robinson’s team could pull the upset. South Florida needs to bounce back from the Rutgers loss with a big victory at home against Connecticut (USF is -6.5 at WagerWeb.com). West Virginia gets a taste of an SEC defense, albeit the worst one with Mississippi State (WVU is -24.5). Louisville (-33) has an easy win at Middle Tennessee State and Cincinnati ( -6.5) hosts Akron.



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Monday, October 02, 2006

What Next For Arce?

What Next For Arce?


By Carlos Guzman
WagerWeb.com Contributing Writer


On Saturday, Jorge “El Travieso� Arce grounded Masibulele “Hawk� Makepula in a mismatch uncharacteristic of HBO's Boxing After Dark show. I wouldn’t even mention this bout had it not been for Arce's post-fight interview with Max Kellerman.

Kellerman asked Arce whom he wanted to fight next -- Arce displayed his bravado: “BRING THEM ALL ON. Just tell me where, when, how much, and I’ll be there�-- a true boxing warrior.

IBF/IBO flyweight champion Vic Darchinyan caught the fight and Arce’s eagerness to challenge him. Darchinyan feels the same way:

"After I take care of (Glenn) Donaire, I'm coming after you," was the message Darchinyan wanted to send out to Arce.

Darchinyan defends his titles against Donaire on Oct. 7, as the co-feature to Diego "Chico" Corrales vs Joel "El Cepillo" Casamayor III.

“I will look to unify my flyweight IBF/IBO world titles with any of the (other) world champions," said Darchinyan. "If none of them look to fight me, I will then move up to super flyweight and fight Jorge Arce -- if he fights me, and isn't all talk.

"I HOPE HE MEANS THIS WHEN I ANSWER HIM BACK."

There is already a lot of buzz about this bout, so I hope HBO is listening.

Abraham-Miranda
Download it, borrow it or steal it. Do what you must, but get this fight of the year candidate anyway you can. Arthur Abraham fought eight of the 12 rounds with a broken jaw and gushing blood through his mouth like a geiser. Why they didn’t stop the fight I have no idea. This bout would’ve been stopped in America (it was in Germany) and Edison Miranda declared the winner. But Abraham fought through the pain, and won a unanimous decision (as I predicted).

Abraham, the IBF middleweight champ, is, according to boxen.com, Sauerland Event’s Web site, doing well in hospital after surgery for the broken jaw.

"I would have stopped him in the sixth if I hadn’t broken my jaw" says Abraham.

He will remain in hospital for three or four days more, but hopes to be ringside for Valuev vs. Barrett in Chicago on Oct. 7. Abraham had a titanium plate inserted into the jaw.

Cotto-Quintana not yet official
It was recently uncovered that the Miguel Cotto-Carlos Quintana fight wasn’t quite yet official when Puerto Rican newspaper El Nuevo Dia reported Cotto rejected the financial terms of the deal:

“We believe everyone wants to keep moving in life, not stay in the same place,� claimed Evangelista Cotto, Miguel’s uncle and trainer.

This forced Top Rank to scramble and do some last minute negotiating:

“Things are looking good now,� promoter Bob Arum told Jake Donovan of FightBeat.com. “Miguel and (Top Rank President) Todd deBoeuf talked more about the money and other things, and had a productive conversation. We’re hoping to make it official as soon as possible.�

Quintana had agreed to terms last week, only to claim to have not since heard back from Top Rank.

This bout is expected to be officially announced Oct. 7 and will take place in December at Madison Square Garden.



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Breeders' Cup Classic

Breeders' Cup Classic


By Greg Melikov
WagerWeb.com Contributing Writer


The main event of this year’s Breeders’ Cup World Thoroughbred Championships, without a doubt, is the Classic. The 23rd renewal should live up to its name at Churchill Downs.

During five previous BC Days at the historic Louisville track, there have been exciting Classics: Tiznow edged Giant’s Causeway by a neck in 2000, Awesome Again defeated Silver Charm by three-quarters of a length in ’98, and Alysheba beat Striking the Gold by a half-length in ’89.

So don’t be surprised when the margin of victory is less than a length on Nov. 4. That’s because the top contenders are classy campaigners on winning streaks:

Lava Man: The 5-year-old gelding has captured six stakes in a row during ’06, including four Grade 1 races, and earned nearly $2.5 million. Four victories were at the Classic distance of 1 ¼ miles, while two were on the turf.

With five wins on the grass, it’s no surprise his final prep on Saturday comes in the $250,000 Clement Hirsch Turf Championship at the Oak Tree at Santa Anita meeting.

The son of Slew City Slew faces another gelding three years older who also is undefeated – the Tin Man, winner of this race in ’02. His latest score in three outings: the Arlington Million in wire-to-wire fashion.

Bernardini: The top sophomore has registered five consecutive triumphs since his fourth-place career debut back in January at Gulfstream Park, but it was a sprint.

Three Grade 1 wins include the Travers at the Classic distance and the Preakness, with earnings exceeding $1.6 million.

The A. P. Indy colt who has likely clinched 3-year-old championship honors is on a collision course with one of his BC Main Event foes in the $750,000 Jockey Gold Cup at Belmont Park on Oct. 7.

Ivasor: The 4-year-old colt has not tasted defeat since a fourth-place finish in the UAE Derby at Dubai back in March and is 8 for 9 during his career, including two victories at the BC Classic distance.

His three consecutive wins are all Grade 1s -- the past two after horrible starts. The son of Candy Stripes finished ahead of Sun King and West Virginia in the Whitney, in front of Wild Desert in the Suburban and bested Wanderin Boy in the Pimlico Special. He has banked more than $1 million this year.

Other horses who may try their luck in the Classic are:

Sun King: The 4-year-old hit the board in his past five outings, but hasn’t won since taking the Commonwealth at Keeneland in April. The son of Charismatic did come within a nose of Ivasor in the Whitney.

Dylan Thomas: Winner of the Irish Derby and Irish Champion Stakes goes in the Jockey Cup Gold Cup. It will decide whether the 3-year-old runs in the Classic.

Flower Alley: Last year’s Classic runner-up behind the late Saint Liam has turned in two disappointing efforts, and future plans for the son of Distorted Humor are up in the air.

Perfect Drift: This warhorse, third in the ’05 Classic, has not visited the winner's circle in five ’06 outings. But the 7-year-old son of Dynaformer won or placed in 24 stakes during his 40-race career, earning more than $4.5 million.

Jazil: Impressive winner of the Belmont Stakes has been sidelined several months with a bruised hind cannon bone, but recently began jogging 1 ½ miles. But it appears doubtful the 3-year-old son of Seeking the Gold will go in the Classic.



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American Express Championship

American Express Championship


By Tom Brew
WagerWeb.com Contributing Writer


The golf world swings back to regular old stroke-play events this week, so you can figure Tiger Woods will be back on top again.


Woods and the gang tee off Thursday in the World Golf Championship series American Express Championship at The Grove in Hertfordshire, England. Woods has won the event four times on four different courses and is ready to see if he can keep his winning streak going. Prior to the Ryder Cup and HSBC Match Play, Woods had won five straight medal-play tournaments.


Can six be next? Maybe. But what about seven and eight and beyond? Can anyone win 11 in a row like the great Byron Nelson, who just passed away Tuesday at the age of 94?


No way, says Woods, and he rarely says no to anything.

“The competition is so much deeper now,� said Woods, who has won six in a row before, from 1999-2000. “I mean, back in [Nelson's] day -- I actually talked to him about this -- he said he had to beat four or five guys every week, and when you're hot that's not that hard to do. That's not the case anymore. It's 40 or 50 now, so it's a lot different.�

Woods says he barely notices his winning streak, being so focused on one shot at a time, one round at a time, one tournament at a time.

“I thought about one tournament at a time,� Woods said of the current streak. “When you win one, you can move on to the next one, try and win that one. You win the next, then move on to the next.

“[Nelson's] record is still remarkable that particular year, his 12th event he finished second and then he won the very next one, so it's 12 out of 13, and the worst finish was second. So that's pretty good. And 18 (wins) in a year -- I don't play that many tournaments, so I can't get 18.�

Woods expects a birdie-fest this weekend.

“You're going to have to make a bunch of birdies,� Woods said. “The golf course is ample wide off the tee, but if you miss the fairways, you're going to have a hard time getting to the green. The greens are somewhat undulating, but they're really smooth. So with them being smooth, you figured guys are going to make some putts.

“So that being said, if there's no wind at all, expect the scores to be really low this week.�

Woods has won 11 of his 21 World Golf Championships starts, and he has successfully defended a title 15 times, so you’ve got to consider him a huge favorite here. With the devastating Ryder Cup loss behind him, he’s ready to move forward.

“I'm starting to hit the ball a little bit better now,� said Woods, who was the Americans’ leading point-getter with three. “I didn't play well on Saturday morning. I played really well Saturday afternoon, then played well again on Sunday. So I just had one bad day out of five.

“So that being said, at least I started turning it around, started hitting the ball better and started putting better, which is nice, which gave me a little bit of confidence going into this week.�

Woods will get to play with good friend Darren Clarke on Thursday, so expect him to be in a good comfort zone. The WagerWeb.com odds on Woods are short as usual at 2.5 to 1, but how can you bet against him? We’ve sort of kept that trend through this column the last few months and it's good logic.

Want some long shots, though?

You know I’ve been on this Sergio Garcia bandwagon for a while, and he certainly didn’t disappoint during the Ryder Cup. At 14 to 1, that’s a nice number and worth a gamble.

Another guy playing well who might really have something to prove this week is England’s Ian Poulter at 30 to 1. He surprisingly didn’t qualify for the European Ryder Cup team, and then wasn’t a captain’s pick, although Clarke and Lee Westwood certainly acquitted themselves well. But Poulter has been playing great and this might be a perfect time to shine in a world-wide event.

Keep a good eye on him.



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Sunday, October 01, 2006

Sports Betting

NFL Football Handicapping
NFL Week 3 Recap
The favorites returned to glory back in Week 2 of the NFL season, but their reign at the top didn't last very long. The underdogs bit back hard in Week 3 as the favorites tanked across the board ATS. Back in Week 2 the favorites were a respectable 11-5 ATS. Things were practically reversed in Week 3 as favorites took a dive and posted a pathetic 4-9 mark ATS (all results prior to Monday night game). Things looked a lot better straight-up where the favorites were able to maintain some respectability. In Week 3 the favorites were 8-5 SU, which is almost on par with the 12-4 SU mark they posted in Week 2. The Week 3 slump has caused the overall season numbers to drop considerably. The favorites are now only 21-24 ATS for the season, but things still look all right SU, where the favorites are 29-16. Home teams showed a resurgence back in Week 2, but just like the favorites they came crashing back down to earth in Week 3. The home teams were a disappointing 5-8 ATS in Week 3, down from 11-5 ATS in Week 2. Things were even worse straight up. Back in Week 2 the home teams made the most out of home-field advantage and went 12-4 SU. In Week 3, the home teams gave their fans very little to cheer about with a 3-10 record SU. That means for the season home teams are 19-26 ATS and 20-25 SU. Totals bettors didn't see much off a change between Week 2 and 3. Back in Week 2, offenses started to get in gear and that resulted in a 7-7-2 over/under mark. The offense continued to get better in Week 3, but some strong defensive efforts levelled out the playing field causing an over/under mark of 7-5-1. Despite two straight weeks of overs winning out, the season over/under mark continues to favor the UNDER at 18-24-3.

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