Thursday, September 21, 2006

Sports Betting

NFL Football Handicapping
NFL Week 2 Recap
After getting whipped by the underdogs in the opening week, the favorites struck back in Week 2 of the NFL season. Spread bettors had a tough time if they placed their money on favorites in Week 1, but they would have been rewarded in Week 2 if they stuck with them (all Week 2 stats exclude Monday night game). In Week 2, favorites were 11-4 ATS, a big improvement over the 6-10 ATS mark from Week 1. The favorites were even better straight up with a 12-3 record. Again, it was an improvement on Week 2, which saw the favorites end up 9-7 SU. The Week 2 rebound has put the favorites ahead on the season with a combined ATS mark of 17-14 for Weeks 1 and 2. The overall straight up record is even better at 21-10 combined through Week 1 and 2. The favorites' ATS improvement was nothing compared to the turnaround home teams made in Week 2. Back in Week 1, home teams were an abysmal 3-13 ATS and an equally bad 5-11 SU. Things changed dramatically in Week 2 as home-field advantage began to mean something again. In Week 2, the home team was 10-5 ATS and 11-4 SU. The overall season marks still have some catching up to do if they want to look as good as the favorites. The combined record from Week 1 and 2 for home teams is 13-18 ATS and 16-15 SU. Total bettors would have found their pockets a little lighter if they stood by the over/under results from Week 1. Unders ruled in Week 1, which had an over/under record of 4-12. The scores were up in Week 2 and as a result so were overs. The over/under mark for Week 2 came in at 7-6-2. There were 580 points scored in 15 games in Week 2 for an average of 38.6 points per game. Scoring was up in Week 2 as only 571 points were scored in 16 games in Week 1. The average over/under total for these games was 39 points. The average points scored may be slightly lower, but the two pushes kept the Week 2 over/under results almost split down the middle. For the season so far, the overall over/under record still favors the unders at 11-18-2.

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